Smart Money serves up some great advice on how to decide what picks to make:
"The best research, and thus, the best decision, is always the one you make from your own informed perspective.... The one piece of information that matters most to your bottom line: price action. If you're going to profitably trade stocks, you should start by observing them. Nothing is more informative than the price of the actual security in which you're considering taking a position."
Follow the Trend, Not the Crowd
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